Monthly Deep Review — September 2026

2026-09-01 → 2026-09-30 · generated 2026-10-01 13:01 EDT · REAL measured  TAPE fill-blind

1 · Real money this month REAL

legnnet $win%PFexp $/tr
SCALP3-9.91330.96-3.30
A+1+31.821009.99+31.82
other1-79.8000.00-79.80
real money total
-57.89

2 · Promotion board — which ticker to promote REAL

Gate: ≥20 real fills, net > 0, PF ≥1.2, survivable spread (<20bp avg), additive to the MRVL/MU core. Scorecard verdict is frozen; the call below layers spread + additivity.
MU — COLLECTING  2/20 fills — net +159 so far. redundant w/ core (corr 0.76)
2/20 fills · net $+159 · PF 9.00 · win 100% · avg spread 16bp · corr-core 0.76
COIN — COLLECTING  2/20 fills — net +95 so far. additive (corr 0.05)
2/20 fills · net $+95 · PF 9.00 · win 100% · avg spread 17bp · corr-core 0.05
MSTR — COLLECTING  1/20 fills — net +85 so far. additive (corr 0.22)
1/20 fills · net $+85 · PF 9.00 · win 100% · avg spread 9bp · corr-core 0.22
NVDA — COLLECTING  1/20 fills — net +74 so far. redundant w/ core (corr 0.65)
1/20 fills · net $+74 · PF 9.00 · win 100% · avg spread 1bp · corr-core 0.65
RBLX — COLLECTING  1/20 fills — spread wide (31bp). additive (corr -0.06)
1/20 fills · net $+32 · PF 9.00 · win 100% · avg spread 31bp · corr-core -0.06
DELL — COLLECTING  1/20 fills — spread wide (74bp). additive (corr 0.31)
1/20 fills · net $-48 · PF 0.00 · win 0% · avg spread 74bp · corr-core 0.31
ARM — COLLECTING  1/20 fills — spread wide (57bp). redundant w/ core (corr 0.79)
1/20 fills · net $-242 · PF 0.00 · win 0% · avg spread 57bp · corr-core 0.79
CRWD — COLLECTING  3/20 fills — spread wide (28bp). additive (corr -0.38)
3/20 fills · net $-245 · PF 0.00 · win 0% · avg spread 28bp · corr-core -0.38
SOFI — COLLECTING  2/20 fills — net -291 so far. additive (corr 0.13)
2/20 fills · net $-291 · PF 0.00 · win 0% · avg spread 6bp · corr-core 0.13

3 · Fill quality by name REAL

Two different things: spread = how wide the market is (structural latent cost); fill vs model = did we beat the marketable price (+ = price improvement). WIDE = wide-spread caution; LEAKING = fills actually come in worse than model. A name can be WIDE but fill fine (e.g. DELL).
symavg spreadavg fill vs modelflag
DELL74bp+29.3bpWIDE
ARM57bp+2.8bpWIDE
RBLX31bp+17.1bpWIDE
CRWD28bp+18.2bpWIDE
COIN17bp+9.1bpok
MU16bp+0.3bpok
MSTR9bp-17.8bpLEAKING
SOFI6bp-4.3bpLEAKING
NVDA1bp+0.4bpok

4 · Tape standings (month) TAPE · rank only

MSTR+1288COIN+1070DELL+568HOOD+363TSLA+334MU+259AAPL+221RBLX+207AVGO+177NVDA-6AMD-34MRVL-91ARM-121SMCI-137CRWD-298SOFI-332PLTR-832

5 · Regime (month) CONTEXT

idxavg range%chg
SPY0.69%+0.08%
QQQ1.02%+4.58%
MRVL4.38%+28.81%

Bottom line

Promote-ready: none ready. Closest-but-leaking (HOLD on fills): none. Full reasoning + demotes added by the monthly run.